Author Topic: Stockmarket Tips For Nigerians  (Read 675139 times)

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Offline All Things Green

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Re: Stockmarket Tips For Nigerians
« Reply #22840 on: February 16, 2010, 09:24:05 PM »
What do you guys say about first bank?

@ Ofo, NNs,

Not sure what the correct numbers are for the banks nowadays. somewhere had the p/e ratio of 1st Bank at 88. Think GTB probably a better stable bank to buy right now.

Samstone4 8) 8) 8)
Alakoso...



CBN reforms: Foreign investors storm Nigerian market 

The Nigerian stock market, which was rated world?s worst performing market in 2009, is rebounding as foreign investors storm the market on the pledge by the Central Bank of Nigeria to the rid Nigerian banks of bad loans.


This rebound comes as the world?s lowest valuations and projections for record bank profits lure Citigroup Incorporated, Exotix Limited and Insparo Asset Management, Bloomberg on Monday. The nation?s benchmark All-Share Index has rallied by 10 per cent in 2010 after dropping by 34 per cent last year, the biggest drop among benchmark indexes in the 70 largest equity markets.

The gauge is valued at 4.6 times earnings estimates as analysts predict that profits at First Bank of Nigeria Plc, Guaranty Trust Bank Plc and Stanbic IBTC Bank Plc will climb by an average 43 per cent, according to data compiled by Bloomberg.

Investors are returning to Africa?s biggest oil producer after CBN Governor, Mr. Lamido Sanusi, pledged to rid banks of bad loans, oil prices doubled and crude output climbed on an amnesty agreement with rebels in the Niger Delta. Last week, the European Investment Bank signed a ?240m loan agreement with First Bank, Stanbic IBTC and GTBank, saying the clear strength of the three banks followed committed reforms across the entire banking sector.

?The Nigerian market is picking up,? Mr. Jamie Allsopp, who helps oversee about $165m at Insparo, said. The London-based firm?s Africa and Middle East fund returned 31 per cent in 2009, compared with a seven per cent gain in the MSCI Frontier Markets Index. ?Banks are offering a lot of value. The equity is still cheap,? he added.

The All-Share Index climbed by 0.4 per cent to 23,061.41 at the close of trading in Lagos. Boosting investors? confidence, the World Bank said recently that the Nigerian economy was set to grow by 4.8 per cent in 2010 after expanding by 4.3 per cent in 2009. That compares with the Washington-based lender?s forecast for 2.7 per cent growth in the global economy. Oil prices have jumped to $74 a barrel from about $35 in December 2008.

The growth rate helps make Nigeria one of the world?s most attractive so-called frontier markets, Emerging Market Strategist, Citigroup, New York, Mr. Andrew Howell, said in a February 3 research report.

Nigerian shares are recovering from two years of losses spurred by a collapse in oil prices during the global recession and a banking crisis sparked by bad loans to stock speculators. Toxic assets in banks might have reached as much as $10bn, according to estimates by New York-based research firm, Eurasia Group.


The CBN has pledged to guarantee all inter-bank loans until the end of 2010 and asked parliament to create an Asset Management Company that will buy bad debts from banks. Nigeria has the potential to deliver ?very strong? long- term returns, though political uncertainty may deter investors, according to an emerging markets strategist at HSBC Holdings Plc, London, Mr. John Lomax.

Investors are paying the equivalent of $4.60 for every dollar Nigerian companies will earn this year, according to Bloomberg data. That compares with $8.40 in Pakistan, $8.50 in Greece and $13.80 in the United States, Bloomberg data show.

First Bank of Nigeria Plc, the country?s biggest lender by market value, may earn N2.20 a share in the fiscal year ended March 2011, up from N1.87 this year, according to the average of seven analysts? estimates compiled by Bloomberg.

Guaranty Trust Bank Plc, Nigeria?s third-biggest lender, may increase per-share earnings by 67 per cent this year, according to analysts? estimates. The shares trade for 8.2 times profit projections after climbing by 19 per cent in 2010.


Nigerian Business Forums

Re: Stockmarket Tips For Nigerians
« Reply #22840 on: February 16, 2010, 09:24:05 PM »


Offline samstone4

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Re: Stockmarket Tips For Nigerians
« Reply #22841 on: February 16, 2010, 10:22:47 PM »
@ NNs,

Nitel sale not looking good:

MTN bid $25 million for SAT3.
I am sure Cisco and Didata offered more to lease SAT3!!
Well done NCC.

Samstone4 8) 8)
Alakoso...

If this is true, then there's hope for our dear Commander
New generation telecoms acquires NITEL  for $2.5B

@ Shak, NNs,

Could this be the turnaround for your commander's portfolio?
I think 2.5 Billion dollars is even higher than I valued it here and this is just for 75%. These Chinese don't do things in half measures!
to think MT bidded 25 Million for SAt3 - thieves, Ole, barawo etc
Don't know how this will affect Transcorp. Perhaps they will now get money back for what they invested in Nitel during their ownership or a stake? whatever, it will not cost them any more money. Must look into this, as I'm currently on "Operation Restore Portfolio2010".

New generation telecoms acquires NITEL

By Camillus Eboh

February 16, 2010 05:03PM

A consortium involving China Unicom bid $2.5 billion on Tuesday for the former state telecoms monopoly in Nigeria, one of the world's fastest growing markets, the privatization body said.

The National Council on Privatization said New Generation Telecommunications Ltd. had become the preferred bidder for Nitel, which Nigeria has struggled to sell since liberalization in 2001 made it uncompetitive against rivals.

The privatization body said the consortium included China Unicom (Hong Kong) Limited, Minerva Group of Dubai and local company GiCell Wireless Limited. Their precise holdings in the consortium were not immediately available.

China, Africa's biggest trading partner, has invested billions of dollars in the continent in recent years, going far beyond its initial emphasis on mineral extraction.

Nigeria invited expressions of interest in July for a minimum of a 75 percent stake in the Nitel conglomerate or a stake in one or several of its components, including mobile arm MTEL, the South Atlantic Terminal underwater cable (SAT-3) and its domestic fixed line network.

After the bid is approved by the privatization council, the group will have 10 days to pay 30 percent of the purchase price and a further 50 days to pay the rest. The reserve bidder was Omen International Ltd (BVI) with a bid of $956 million.

"We will pay within the stipulated time. We did not make a hypothetical offer," said Abubakar Usman from New Generation.

South Africa's MTN was among the bidders, but only for a stake in the SAT-3 underwater cable.

Nigeria has overtaken South Africa to become the biggest telecoms market in Africa.

But the government has struggled to sell the firm mainly because of the shambolic state of its fixed line infrastructure.

Its fixed lines have fallen to less than 100,000 from five times that number in 2001 and MTEL subscribers have dropped to a few thousand from over 1 million.

Nigeria ended Nitel's monopoly in 2001 and tried to sell it the same year. But preferred bidders failed to pay the $1.3 billion price tag by the deadline, leaving it in state hands.

Local conglomerate Transcorp later bought a majority state in the firm but the government took back control last June, citing a lack of investment and unpaid debts.

Nigeria came close to selling Nitel in late 2005 to Egypt's Orascom Telecom, but the government rejected the $257 million offer as too low.

Reuters

Samstone4 8) 8) 8) 8) 8)
Alakoso....future chair of TC International conglomerate.

Offline Blenheim

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Re: Stockmarket Tips For Nigerians
« Reply #22842 on: February 16, 2010, 11:15:00 PM »
Any comments on First Bank for the medium to long term?
By the way, when do u guys think AGMs are coming up for banks after the unified yearend?

Offline samstone4

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Re: Stockmarket Tips For Nigerians
« Reply #22843 on: February 16, 2010, 11:17:17 PM »
@ NNs,

By my estimate, the 51% Transcorp stake in Nitel is valued at 1.7 Billion dollars. IT is time for Transcorp to threaten to scuttle the whole deal with legal action if it does not get a good chunk of the profit. afterall the whole reversal thing was illegal.

Samstone4 8) 8) 8) 8) 8)
 Alakoso...SAN in telecommunication litigation.

Offline samstone4

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Re: Stockmarket Tips For Nigerians
« Reply #22844 on: February 16, 2010, 11:23:04 PM »
Any comments on First Bank for the medium to long term?
By the way, when do u guys think AGMs are coming up for banks after the unified yearend?

@ Blen,

See posting above, on this page. Can't say when the AGMs will be.

Samstone4 8) 8) 8)
Alakoso...

Offline oforitseno

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Re: Stockmarket Tips For Nigerians
« Reply #22845 on: February 17, 2010, 02:30:39 PM »
Today appears to be bloody

Offline samstone4

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Re: Stockmarket Tips For Nigerians
« Reply #22846 on: February 17, 2010, 05:10:23 PM »
Today appears to be bloody

@ Ofo, NNs,

all I know is that TC not helped by Nitel 2.5 Billion dollars sale. think we are all very jaded now by NSE and especially Transcorp. Perhaps if it is known that TC received more money from government for their expenditure on Nitel.....but both sides will probably want to keep it quiet. Ce la vie.

Samstone4 8) 8) 8) 8)
Alakoso....where is mon ami le rogue trader?

Offline samstone4

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Re: Stockmarket Tips For Nigerians
« Reply #22847 on: February 18, 2010, 07:31:42 AM »
@ NNs,

Glimmer of hope for Transcorp on back of Nitel sale?
Volume of 21.9 million traded yesterday is highest for a while but still on offer.

Samstone4 8) 8) 8) 8)
Alakoso...

Offline oforitseno

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Re: Stockmarket Tips For Nigerians
« Reply #22848 on: February 18, 2010, 01:38:30 PM »
A minor improvement today

Offline shakabula

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Re: Stockmarket Tips For Nigerians
« Reply #22849 on: February 18, 2010, 06:15:24 PM »
@ NNs,

Glimmer of hope for Transcorp on back of Nitel sale?
Volume of 21.9 million traded yesterday is highest for a while but still on offer.

Samstone4 8) 8) 8) 8)
Alakoso...

I hope the pumpers and dumpers are not setting you up for a ride
"Those who cannot remember the past are condemned to repeat it" - George Santayana

Offline bigboylarry

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Re: Stockmarket Tips For Nigerians
« Reply #22850 on: February 18, 2010, 06:50:47 PM »
@ All,

 Funny how times fly just checking in.......
ability to think is also to investigate.

Offline shakabula

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Re: Stockmarket Tips For Nigerians
« Reply #22851 on: February 18, 2010, 06:59:17 PM »
Doubts grow over $2.5 bln Nigerian telecoms sale

and the ink has not even dried on the deal yet..China Telecom has denied involvement...

Excerpt:

"But Unicom denied any part in a bid that telecoms analysts said was very high for a firm Nigeria has struggled to sell since 2001, when liberalisation made it uncompetitive. One consultant estimated Nitel's value at no more than $500 million"
« Last Edit: February 18, 2010, 07:02:43 PM by shakabula »
"Those who cannot remember the past are condemned to repeat it" - George Santayana

Offline shakabula

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Re: Stockmarket Tips For Nigerians
« Reply #22852 on: February 19, 2010, 04:28:42 AM »
"Those who cannot remember the past are condemned to repeat it" - George Santayana

Offline samstone4

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Re: Stockmarket Tips For Nigerians
« Reply #22853 on: February 19, 2010, 05:57:07 AM »
@ NNs,

Glimmer of hope for Transcorp on back of Nitel sale?
Volume of 21.9 million traded yesterday is highest for a while but still on offer.

Samstone4 8) 8) 8) 8)
Alakoso...

I hope the pumpers and dumpers are not setting you up for a ride

@ Shak,

The pumpers and dumpers can't get me with TC because had I the cash would be accumulating more now not cicoing.

Re: China Unicom - that would be real strange if the 2.5 Billion bid was fake. Telefonica is a reputable telecom if not Gicell wireless. There was some confusing talk of 30% draft being submitted with the bid but also to be paid within 10 days of NCP approval. Which is it? Perhaps the draft is submitted with the bid but not cashable until latest 10 days of approval?
Maybe the NewGeneration now want to reduce their bid in view of the wide gap to the reserve bid, 980+ million?
There was some talk of some experts faulting the sale process. They should shut up! Even if the reserve bidder ends up getting Nitel it would still be a great success. The nay sayers wanted to talk Nitel down and get it for scraps. Even the third bid was higher than 500 million dollars. 3 companies after due dilligence bidded more than this amount.
MTN bidded 25 million for Sat3 when globacom paid over 500 million dollars for their equivalent! One bidder offered 100,000 dollars for sat3. Even with the exclusive licence expired it is still worth a lot more. I would have bought Sat 3 for 100,000 dollars myself!
It would be interesting to know what Globacom was offering for the entire Nitel/Mtel/sat3 etc. Not much Iam sure. These companies would rather spend money bribing officials to get it for next to nothing.

We will know within 2 weeks if New generation will pay 30% of 2.5 billion.

Samstone4 8) 8) 8) 8)
Alakoso....

Offline samstone4

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Re: Stockmarket Tips For Nigerians
« Reply #22854 on: February 19, 2010, 05:59:56 AM »
@ All,

 Funny how times fly just checking in.......

@ Big,

Welcome! We need your crystal more than ever.

Samstone4 8) 8) 8) 8)
Alakoso...

Offline samstone4

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Re: Stockmarket Tips For Nigerians
« Reply #22855 on: February 19, 2010, 06:08:50 AM »
IFC Invests in Nigeria?s Food Company - Tantalizers

@ Shak, NNs,

One of the lessons from the boom days is to invest when these international agencies are investing and get out when they do. Might be good to look at Big treat now - I have a reasonable size here albeit I can't find the certificate!!

Samstone4 8) 8) 8) 8)
Alakoso....

Offline samstone4

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Re: Stockmarket Tips For Nigerians
« Reply #22856 on: February 19, 2010, 06:28:25 AM »
@ NNs,

I certainly this new Generation does not fall apart. The ownership of Gicell is shaky but don't think PNB Paribas will be so negligent? I am also in BGL from their pp so all better be on the up and up - like I used to say to Major AKT before he went awol.

From today's BusinesDay:


How New Generation Consortium evolved
Friday, 19 February 2010 01:26 John Osadolor

?Minerva Group, not China Unicom, is lead financial partner ? Gumi

More facts emerged yesterday on the identity of New Generation Consortium, the preferred bidder for the moribund NITEL auctioned on Tuesday.

Information available to BusinessDay last night indicated that GiCell Wireless, the Nigerian firm in the consortium, is jointly owned by GIC Nigeria Limited and Usman Ahmed Gumi, proprietor of G-Cell Nigeria Limited, a rural telephony operator.

While GIC Nigeria Limited owned two-thirds equity, Gumi owned the balance one third of GiCell. On the other hand, GIC Nigeria Limited with share capitalisation of N500,000 and located on Cemetery Road, Onitsha, Anambra State is owned by Ifeanyi Chima (N400,000 shares) and Ikeme Chima (N25,000). They are both directors of the company with Corporate Affairs Commission (CAC) Company Registration number RC 207962.

However, a statement from the authorised representative of New Generation Communication, Usman Ahmed Gumi, said the financial backbone of the consortium is the Minerva Group of United Arab Emirates ?and they have what it takes to turn around NITEL and give Nigerians good telecommunication services?. Apart from other GiCell Wireless Limited, members of the consortium are Unified Access Licencee, Sumatra Star GT Limited and BGL Private Equity Limited, a subsidiary of BGL plc.

It added that the consortium has several other strategic partners with the preferred bidder has signed Memorandum of Understanding, including GIT Affinalia in association with Ring South Europa, Spain, and Xtra Telecom/Phone House Group, FiberHomes Technologies, Huawei Technologies Limited, operators of the National Rural Telephony Programme in Nigeria and China Academy of Telecommunications Technology.

?The Minerva Group, not China Unicom, is the lead financial partner of New Generation Consortium. China Unicom (Europe) Operations Limited who supported the bid, confirmed that it will provide technical and management support and would consider a minimum of 20 percent equity participation on terms to be agreed? Gumi explained. In the same vain, Albert Okumagba, group chief executive officer of BGL plc, confirmed to BusinessDay last night his firm is both the financial adviser and equity holder in the consortium.

According to Okumagba, the consortium submitted a 300-page document on the bid to the Bureau of Public Enterprise (BPE), adding that there was no lack of information on the consortium.

?Our focus is on finalising the process of paying the mandatory 30 percent after approval from the National Council on Privatisation (NCP),?, he told BusinessDay.


Samstone4 8) 8) 8)
Alakoso....

Offline shakabula

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Re: Stockmarket Tips For Nigerians
« Reply #22857 on: February 19, 2010, 08:36:51 AM »
@ NNs,

Glimmer of hope for Transcorp on back of Nitel sale?
Volume of 21.9 million traded yesterday is highest for a while but still on offer.

Samstone4 8) 8) 8) 8)
Alakoso...

I hope the pumpers and dumpers are not setting you up for a ride

@ Shak,

The pumpers and dumpers can't get me with TC because had I the cash would be accumulating more now not cicoing.

Re: China Unicom - that would be real strange if the 2.5 Billion bid was fake. Telefonica is a reputable telecom if not Gicell wireless. There was some confusing talk of 30% draft being submitted with the bid but also to be paid within 10 days of NCP approval. Which is it? Perhaps the draft is submitted with the bid but not cashable until latest 10 days of approval?
Maybe the NewGeneration now want to reduce their bid in view of the wide gap to the reserve bid, 980+ million?
There was some talk of some experts faulting the sale process. They should shut up! Even if the reserve bidder ends up getting Nitel it would still be a great success. The nay sayers wanted to talk Nitel down and get it for scraps. Even the third bid was higher than 500 million dollars. 3 companies after due dilligence bidded more than this amount.
MTN bidded 25 million for Sat3 when globacom paid over 500 million dollars for their equivalent! One bidder offered 100,000 dollars for sat3. Even with the exclusive licence expired it is still worth a lot more. I would have bought Sat 3 for 100,000 dollars myself!
It would be interesting to know what Globacom was offering for the entire Nitel/Mtel/sat3 etc. Not much Iam sure. These companies would rather spend money bribing officials to get it for next to nothing.

We will know within 2 weeks if New generation will pay 30% of 2.5 billion.

Samstone4 8) 8) 8) 8)
Alakoso....

I'm 99.99% certain payment won't be made.  Let's wait and see.  8) 8) 8)
"Those who cannot remember the past are condemned to repeat it" - George Santayana

Offline shakabula

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Re: Stockmarket Tips For Nigerians
« Reply #22858 on: February 19, 2010, 08:39:15 AM »
@ NNs,

I certainly this new Generation does not fall apart. The ownership of Gicell is shaky but don't think PNB Paribas will be so negligent? I am also in BGL from their pp so all better be on the up and up - like I used to say to Major AKT before he went awol.

From today's BusinesDay:


How New Generation Consortium evolved
Friday, 19 February 2010 01:26 John Osadolor

?Minerva Group, not China Unicom, is lead financial partner ? Gumi

?The Minerva Group, not China Unicom, is the lead financial partner of New Generation Consortium. China Unicom (Europe) Operations Limited who supported the bid, confirmed that it will provide technical and management support and would consider a minimum of 20 percent equity participation on terms to be agreed? Gumi explained. In the same vain, Albert Okumagba, group chief executive officer of BGL plc, confirmed to BusinessDay last night his firm is both the financial adviser and equity holder in the consortium.

According to Okumagba, the consortium submitted a 300-page document on the bid to the Bureau of Public Enterprise (BPE), adding that there was no lack of information on the consortium.

?Our focus is on finalising the process of paying the mandatory 30 percent after approval from the National Council on Privatisation (NCP),?, he told BusinessDay.


Samstone4 8) 8) 8)
Alakoso....

CMDR,

Did you read the Reuters piece I posted regarding the so called Minerva Grp?

http://af.reuters.com/article/nigeriaNews/idAFTOE61H03F20100218?sp=true

Excerpt:

There was also uncertainty over the identity of the company in Dubai reported to be providing financing.

Officials at Minerva FZ, Minerva Traders LLC and Minerva Middle East in the Dubai International Financial Centre and Minerva Middle East said they were not involved in the deal. Calls to Minerva General Trading were not immediately answered.
"Those who cannot remember the past are condemned to repeat it" - George Santayana

Offline shakabula

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Re: Stockmarket Tips For Nigerians
« Reply #22859 on: February 19, 2010, 03:06:47 PM »
"Those who cannot remember the past are condemned to repeat it" - George Santayana

Offline samstone4

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Re: Stockmarket Tips For Nigerians
« Reply #22860 on: February 19, 2010, 03:13:13 PM »
@ NNs,

Glimmer of hope for Transcorp on back of Nitel sale?
Volume of 21.9 million traded yesterday is highest for a while but still on offer.

Samstone4 8) 8) 8) 8)
Alakoso...

@ Shak,

It will be a national disgrace if the New Generation bid turns out to be fake especially if the NCP has approved it. The NCP has been warned and certainly should not approve the sale if they can't be assured that the money will be forthcoming. In which case Ndukwe and BNP Paribas will have a lot to answer for and should be probed and prosecuted to the full extent of the law. We will know in 2 weeks.

Samstone4 8) 8) 8)
Alakoso....

I hope the pumpers and dumpers are not setting you up for a ride

@ Shak,

The pumpers and dumpers can't get me with TC because had I the cash would be accumulating more now not cicoing.

Re: China Unicom - that would be real strange if the 2.5 Billion bid was fake. Telefonica is a reputable telecom if not Gicell wireless. There was some confusing talk of 30% draft being submitted with the bid but also to be paid within 10 days of NCP approval. Which is it? Perhaps the draft is submitted with the bid but not cashable until latest 10 days of approval?
Maybe the NewGeneration now want to reduce their bid in view of the wide gap to the reserve bid, 980+ million?
There was some talk of some experts faulting the sale process. They should shut up! Even if the reserve bidder ends up getting Nitel it would still be a great success. The nay sayers wanted to talk Nitel down and get it for scraps. Even the third bid was higher than 500 million dollars. 3 companies after due dilligence bidded more than this amount.
MTN bidded 25 million for Sat3 when globacom paid over 500 million dollars for their equivalent! One bidder offered 100,000 dollars for sat3. Even with the exclusive licence expired it is still worth a lot more. I would have bought Sat 3 for 100,000 dollars myself!
It would be interesting to know what Globacom was offering for the entire Nitel/Mtel/sat3 etc. Not much Iam sure. These companies would rather spend money bribing officials to get it for next to nothing.

We will know within 2 weeks if New generation will pay 30% of 2.5 billion.

Samstone4 8) 8) 8) 8)
Alakoso....

I'm 99.99% certain payment won't be made.  Let's wait and see.  8) 8) 8)

Offline samstone4

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Re: Stockmarket Tips For Nigerians
« Reply #22861 on: February 19, 2010, 11:02:27 PM »
@ Pump, shak, NNs,

What do you make the p/e for 1st Bank?
Proshare has it at 195!!!

Samstone4 8) 8) 8)
Alakoso...

Offline shakabula

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Re: Stockmarket Tips For Nigerians
« Reply #22862 on: February 19, 2010, 11:23:11 PM »
"Those who cannot remember the past are condemned to repeat it" - George Santayana

Offline shakabula

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Re: Stockmarket Tips For Nigerians
« Reply #22863 on: February 20, 2010, 12:43:54 AM »
@ Pump, shak, NNs,

What do you make the p/e for 1st Bank?
Proshare has it at 195!!!

Samstone4 8) 8) 8)
Alakoso...

I don't know what to make of bank PEs these days.  FBN made a PAT of N2.1B for 6M period ended 09/30/2009, so I guess Proshare must have used that number as a factor in estimating PE.  FBN and the other healthy banks will at some point return to normal profitability, so relying on their current PAT numbers might not be helpful in determining whether to invest or not.
"Those who cannot remember the past are condemned to repeat it" - George Santayana

Offline samstone4

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Re: Stockmarket Tips For Nigerians
« Reply #22864 on: February 20, 2010, 06:12:25 AM »
@ Pump, shak, NNs,

What do you make the p/e for 1st Bank?
Proshare has it at 195!!!

Samstone4 8) 8) 8)
Alakoso...

I don't know what to make of bank PEs these days.  FBN made a PAT of N2.1B for 6M period ended 09/30/2009, so I guess Proshare must have used that number as a factor in estimating PE.  FBN and the other healthy banks will at some point return to normal profitability, so relying on their current PAT numbers might not be helpful in determining whether to invest or not.

@ shak,

guess the main point is when do we know which banks have fully provided for the margin loans and therefore will not have this in their next quaterly result. I know Access claimed about 9 months ago to have fully provided yet it keeps showing up in their results etc

Samstone4 8) 8) 8)
Alakoso....

Offline samstone4

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Re: Stockmarket Tips For Nigerians
« Reply #22865 on: February 20, 2010, 08:16:25 AM »
@ NNs,

More on NewGen Nitel bid:

NITEL: We Conducted Proper Due Diligence, Says BPE
From Kunle Aderinokun in Abuja, 02.20.2010

The Bureau of Public Enterprises said yesterday that the bid process for the sale of NITEL/MTEL, which it conducted last Tuesday was open and transparent  and proper due diligence was done before the  bidders were pre-qualified.

The Bureau made the statement following reports that China Unicom (Hong Kong) Ltd, a member of New Generation Telecommunication Ltd Consortium had denied any involvement in the Consortium?s bid for NITEL.
BPE?s Head of Public Communications, Chigbo Anichebe said: ?While not joining issues with anybody, we wish to state categorically and for the records that the NCP/BPE stands firmly by the results of the open and transparent bid process of NITEL/M-TEL held on the 16th February 2010.  We have not seen any evidence to the contrary.?

He maintained that, BPE had received two reference letters as part of a package submitted New Generation, being its Technical Bid documents, which also confirmed the foreign members of consortium and their roles in the transaction, amongst others. 

?When the Technical bids were received on 5th February 2010 and opened by the Bureau of Public Enterprises on 16th February, 2010, New Generations Communications Limited Consortium included as part of its submission a ?commitment Letter? from Minerva Group signed by the Group Chairman, Ahmed Abdullah, accepting to fund the acquisition and another letter from China Unicom (Europe) Operations Limited, accepting to be its Technical Partner,? he said.


Following the receipt of the reference letters, Anichebe explained, they were ?immediately sent to our advisers BNP Paribas for conduct of due diligence and confirmation of the validity of the letter,? stating that, ?BNP Paribas called Mr. Williams So on phone and he confirmed the relationship by e-mail.
 
According to him, So sent an email, which reads: ?We have provided a letter to a member of the New Generation Telecom Consortium to confirm that we are willing to provide technical and managerial support to them on terms to be agreed later, when the bid is finally won. I believe you have a copy of the letter.?

 
The BPE spokesman added: ?Telecommunications operators are not required to submit technical partnership agreements since they already have the technical competencies required to run telecommunications operations. Thus MTN, GLO and New Generation Telecommunications Limited were not required to submit memorandums of understanding (MoU) with technical partners since they were either telecoms operators or have an operator in the consortium.  New Generation Telecommunications Limited has Gicell, a licensed local operator, in its consortium. The additional commitment of China Unicom only served to strengthen its bid.?

Anichebe pointed out that if a member of a consortium wishes to pull out, such a member is  ?free to do so by writing to the BPE and other members of the consortium the same way it wrote to confirm its membership and not by dramatizing its exit in the media.?

Samstone4 8) 8) 8)
Alakoso....

Offline samstone4

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Re: Stockmarket Tips For Nigerians
« Reply #22866 on: February 20, 2010, 12:42:45 PM »
@NNs,

Good news for Nigerians, if true.
This in today's Vanguard:

"China Unicom seeks 20% equity participation in NITEL
National News Feb 20, 2010

Lagos ? The China Unicom (Hong Kong) Ltd, a member of the New Generation Consortium that won the bid for NITEL, has demanded 20 per cent equity holdings in the newly acquired company.

This is contained in a statement issued by Mr William So, President of the company, on Friday in Lagos.

So said the company would not only provide the technical and managerial support for the consortium, but was interested in the 20 per cent equity of the consortium on agreed terms.

According to the statement, the company also expressed its commitment to remain in the consortium after the bid. The BPE?s Head,Public Communications, Mr Chigbo Anichebe, said the bid remained as announced by the bureau.

The BPE had on Tuesday named New Generation Consortium as the preferred bidder for the 75 per cent equity holding of NITEL for 2.5 billion dollars (N375 billion).

NAN reports that the Omen International emerged the reserved bidder with a bid of 956 million dollars (N143.4 billion)."

Samstone4 8) 8) 8) 8)
Alakoso....

Offline shakabula

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Re: Stockmarket Tips For Nigerians
« Reply #22867 on: February 20, 2010, 07:44:25 PM »
@NNs,

Good news for Nigerians, if true.
This in today's Vanguard:

"China Unicom seeks 20% equity participation in NITEL
National News Feb 20, 2010

Lagos ? The China Unicom (Hong Kong) Ltd, a member of the New Generation Consortium that won the bid for NITEL, has demanded 20 per cent equity holdings in the newly acquired company.

This is contained in a statement issued by Mr William So, President of the company, on Friday in Lagos.

So said the company would not only provide the technical and managerial support for the consortium, but was interested in the 20 per cent equity of the consortium on agreed terms.

According to the statement, the company also expressed its commitment to remain in the consortium after the bid. The BPE?s Head,Public Communications, Mr Chigbo Anichebe, said the bid remained as announced by the bureau.

The BPE had on Tuesday named New Generation Consortium as the preferred bidder for the 75 per cent equity holding of NITEL for 2.5 billion dollars (N375 billion).

NAN reports that the Omen International emerged the reserved bidder with a bid of 956 million dollars (N143.4 billion)."

Samstone4 8) 8) 8) 8)
Alakoso....

Time will reveal the truth
"Those who cannot remember the past are condemned to repeat it" - George Santayana

Offline samstone4

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Re: Stockmarket Tips For Nigerians
« Reply #22868 on: February 20, 2010, 08:29:19 PM »
@ Shak,

Sounds credible that China Unicom may now say they will take 20% stake as they are yet to decide what they will give for the stake. If New Generation should agree to give them the stake just for their technical expertise that will be too good an opportunity to pass up.
It would have been a surprise if the sale of Nitel was not mired in controversy but looking better than many expected - even if the reserve bid gets it for 900 million dollars.

Samstone4 8) 8) 8) 8)
Alakoso...

Offline samstone4

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Re: Stockmarket Tips For Nigerians
« Reply #22869 on: February 22, 2010, 09:06:47 AM »
@ NNs,

Sometime last year we gave some reasons why Transcorp was unable to revitalise Nitel. Included was sabotage of Nitel equipment by rival telecoms and disgruntles staff. TC for all intents and purposes no longer own Nitel and more details of these acts of sabotage are detailed in this article:

"
Vandalised facilities may scuttle NITEL?s revival

Monday, 22 February 2010 01:25 Badejuo Ademuyiwa

?Fibre optic cable severed at many points

With the repeated vandalism of the optic fibre cable of the nation?s first telecom carrier, Nigerian Telecommunications Ltd (Nitel), a successful and profitable operation in the first three years under a new investor may be a mirage even with huge investments.

The ailing telecom firm which sale is now on a bumpy terrain due to China Unicom?s denial of involvement in the bid to acquire it by New Generation Telecommunication Ltd, BusinessDay learnt has suffered severe breach of its optic fibre cable covering over 216 km on line running from Abuja to Lagos and Bonny in Rivers State.

The financial loss, according to a source, runs into billions of Naira. For instance, the vandalism on the cable that runs from Enugu to Iwopin covering a stretch of 128 km led to a loss of N438.23 million while indirect cost due to customer flight was N201.7 million between December 2005 and November 2007.

?The direct revenue loss on dial calls on this route alone is N293.6 million based on an average revenue of N200,000 per hour and down time of 1,468 hours. Total revenue loss for the 1,468 hours down time is N933.56 million,? he said. Optic fibre cable is the most modern technological link that carries digital and voice data on a telecommunication network. Internet, data and voice run on it. It is the cash cow of telecom firms.

Rival GSM firms - MTN and Globacom - as well as contractors handling road dualisation projects along the optic fibre routes are believed to be responsible for the breach of the cables forcing many clients like Shell, Elf, Chevron, NLNG and banks among others to dump Nitel for their internet and data needs before it finally became comatose as a result of revocation of the sale to Transcorp last June by the National Council on Privatisation (NCP).

On the cable route from Abuja to Bonny, covering over 88 km, a distance of four kilometres was cut between Oturkpo and Oturkpa in Benue State and another 40 km severed from Oboliafor to Ninth mile in Enugu State. Also between Umuahia and Port Harcourt are several cuts stretching a distance of 28 km with another cut between Aba and Owerri stretching a distance of eight kilometres on the fibre optic line. The last cut on that route is also of eight kilometres distance between Ikot Ekpene and Uyo in Calabar.

On the optic fibre cable that runs from Lagos to Enugu, a cut stretching a distance of 128 km was recorded. Breakdown shows that the cable stretching a distance of eight kilometres from Ijebu-Ode through Iwopin and Omotosho was cut while multiple cuts covering 116 km distance were recorded on the route running from Benin city through Okhuahe, Alifekide, Agbor, Asaba to Onitsha in Anambra State. Another GSM company installed its cable covering 200 metres near the Onitsha Head Bridge and another cut covering a distance of four kilometres in Ekulu, Enugu state. Cases like these, BusinessDay was told were reported to the Nigerian Communication Commission (NCC) for intervention but still on the rise in the industry.

Reuben Muoka, NCC spokesperson, confirmed the vandalism of infrastructure in the industry by competitors and road contractors but noted that the regulatory body cannot apply sanctions. ?NCC is not a security agency and not in a position to protect the assets of companies in the sector. The commission has on its own held meetings with operators on the issue except in the case of submarine cables. We have warned operators and even charged those accusing others of vandalism to go to court. We are involved because we are to protect subscribers but we cannot take further action because we are not a security agency."
 
Samstone4 8) 8) 8)
Alakoso....

Offline shakabula

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Re: Stockmarket Tips For Nigerians
« Reply #22870 on: February 22, 2010, 05:18:41 PM »
@ Shak,

Sounds credible that China Unicom may now say they will take 20% stake as they are yet to decide what they will give for the stake. If New Generation should agree to give them the stake just for their technical expertise that will be too good an opportunity to pass up.
It would have been a surprise if the sale of Nitel was not mired in controversy but looking better than many expected - even if the reserve bid gets it for 900 million dollars.

Samstone4 8) 8) 8) 8)
Alakoso...

China Unicom denies bid for Nigeria telcom co | News by Country | Reuters

the drama continues
"Those who cannot remember the past are condemned to repeat it" - George Santayana

Offline samstone4

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Re: Stockmarket Tips For Nigerians
« Reply #22871 on: February 22, 2010, 05:33:26 PM »
@ Shak,

Sounds credible that China Unicom may now say they will take 20% stake as they are yet to decide what they will give for the stake. If New Generation should agree to give them the stake just for their technical expertise that will be too good an opportunity to pass up.
It would have been a surprise if the sale of Nitel was not mired in controversy but looking better than many expected - even if the reserve bid gets it for 900 million dollars.

Samstone4 8) 8) 8) 8)


China Unicom denies bid for Nigeria telcom co | News by Country | Reuters

the drama continues

@ Shak,
This report seems verbatim for the one last week. I am concerned that the Ahmed Abdullah that was said to be chairman of Minerva group is not mentioned anywhere on their websites! If it turns out that the BPE has deceived us Ndukwe should be thoroughly probed by the EFCC. When will the NCP decide on the outcome of the bids so we can start the countdown to the receipt if the money?

Samstone4 8) 8)
Alakoso....what is the latest on the trial of the Transcorp 3?
Where is Pump777?
Alakoso...
« Last Edit: February 22, 2010, 05:41:59 PM by samstone4 »

Offline samstone4

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Re: Stockmarket Tips For Nigerians
« Reply #22872 on: February 22, 2010, 05:40:06 PM »
@ Shak, NNs,

This from Financial Times less than an hour ago:

"
Financial Times FT.com

China Unicom unit confirms Nitel interest

By Kathrin Hille in Beijing and Tom Burgis in Abuja

Published: February 22 2010 15:45 | Last updated: February 22 2010 15:45

China Unicom has confirmed that its London-based subsidiary has expressed interest in supporting the privatisation of Nitel, Nigeria?s former telecoms monopoly, and possibly taking an equity stake in the company.

The statement from China?s second-largest telecoms operator followed Unicom?s denial last week of any participation in a $2.5bn bid for a 75 per cent stake in Nitel.

On Monday, China Unicom Hong Kong said China Unicom (Europe) Operations Ltd, a UK-based wholly owned subsidiary, had been in contact with certain potential bidders.

?Unicom Europe has indicated its interest in the provision of technical and managerial support services in relation to the proposed privatisation. Unicom Europe has also indicated that, subject to certain conditions being fulfilled, it would be interested in exploring the possibility of equity investment in Nitel,? Unicom said.

Following the initial denial, Nigerian officials released an undated letter signed by William So, president of Unicom?s European arm, stating that it was willing to be technical partner to a consortium called New Generation Telecommunications and consider a 20 per cent stake.

The consortium was named preferred bidder for the troubled telecoms group last Tuesday after tabling a $2.5bn offer for 75 per cent of Nitel ? that was some $1.5bn more than the second-highest bid and five times the valuation placed on Nitel by other potential bidders who had studied the company.

Unicom insisted, however, on Monday that it had not started any negotiations with respect to any substantive and legally binding agreements. It said its unlisted parent had not had any direct discussions with parties to the proposed privatisations. It said the European arm had been ?in contact with potential bidders? for Nitel but did not name them.

Other members of the New Generation consortium include little-known Minerva Group of the United Arab Emirates ? described by the bidders as their ?financial backbone? ? and GiCell, a small Nigerian operator as well as BGL, a prominent local finance house and brokerage. The consortium has until Friday to make a 30 per cent downpayment on its bid.

Monday?s statement has raised concerns over the Chinese state-owned company?s internal communication. A spokeswoman for Unicom?s listed unit in Hong Kong had said on Thursday that China Unicom was neither a participant nor planned to be involved in the acquisition of Nitel.

Industry observers said it was surprising that Unicom would consider investing in Nitel given the increasingly fierce competition in its home market.

Last month Unicom said it expected its profit to drop at least 50 per cent this year, a warning that followed a year of mounting capital expenditure and sliding earnings for all three of China?s telecom operators.

Copyright The Financial Times Limited 2010. Print a single copy of this article for personal use. Contact us if you wish to print more to distribute to others.

"FT" and "Financial Times" are trademarks of the Financial Times. Privacy policy | Terms
? Copyright The Financial Times Ltd 2010."

Samstone4 8) 8) 8) 8)
Alakoso...

Offline samstone4

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Re: Stockmarket Tips For Nigerians
« Reply #22873 on: February 22, 2010, 06:25:54 PM »
@ NNs,

Some non-Nitel good news from Japaul. Hope somebody not robbing us dry here like everywhere else.
Bigger dividends please Mr Ja.

"Japaul Oil acquires N3.56b vessels, targets N14.85m daily turnover
By Moses Ebosele

TO further boost its business activities, Japaul Oil and Maritime Services Plc has acquired two new vessels, worth about N3.56 billion ($24 million).

The new investment, according to the company, is expected to lift operations and ensure a significant improvement in its bottom line this year.

A press statement made available quoted the firm's Managing Director, Mr. Paul Jegede, as saying that with the acquisition, deployment of the vessels and the recent peace in the Niger-Delta region, the company will be in a better position to reward its shareholders with improved earnings and high return on investment.

He further stated that till date, the company has acquired about 10 vessels, running into over N12 billion, adding that when fully deployed, they will ensure that the firm earns about N14.85 million ($100,000) per day.

He said: "We have invested our funds, just in line with what we passed across to investors during our public offer. We have not deviated from what our promises were on what we will do with the funds.

"We have acquired, till date, about 10 vessels, which runs into several billions- about N12 billion put together. These funds were invested in all kind of vessels, excluding dredgers, and when some of these vessels are deployed, we will be expecting, on an average, nothing less than $100,000 per day on the income that the vessels will bring in.

"Recently, we acquired two new vessels which cost us about $24 million. They have brought us a contract with the Nigerian Liquified Natural Gas for three years, and within these years, the vessels will be there and there is likelihood that the contract will be extended.

"The dredging division of the company is still handling contracts for Shell, worth over N6.68 billion ($45 million). We still have contracts with various other multinational companies, which are bringing us revenues on a continuous basis."

Jegede reiterated its resolve to boost the value of its assets, and gave hints of plans to raise additional funds from the capital market in the near future.

He added: "Our expectation in Japaul is to build up the asset of the company. The money we raised in the past is not enough for the kind of business we do. However, we believe that people must get sufficient return on their investment before we say let us move forward again.

"The whole money we raised, if we want to apply it properly, can hardly buy three meaningful vessels. It is a highly capital intensive industry, that is why you do not find too many people in it. That is why you also find too many Nigerians buying old vessels, which they can afford. Each of these vessels cost as much as $30 million and some as high as $100 million per vessel.

"Going by the capital base of banks in Nigeria, I do not think there is any of them that can finance such kind of business. So we intend to move up and there is no way, if we have to really have the full gain of the market, there is no way that we will still not come back to the market to raise more funds."

Samstone4 8) 8) 8) 8)
Alakoso...where is Pump747-800?

Offline samstone4

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Re: Stockmarket Tips For Nigerians
« Reply #22874 on: February 22, 2010, 07:58:23 PM »
@ NNs,

Rumour that TC may get 8 to 10 Billion Naira more from government in addition to the loan from the bank being paid off. If Nitel is sold for 2.5 Billion dollars, about 375 Billion Naira, they should hold out for more than this. Don't see all the Nitel liabilities for pension, back salaries etc being more than 150 Billion.

Samstone4 8) 8) 8) 8)
Alakoso...

Offline jawtheoutlaw

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Re: Stockmarket Tips For Nigerians
« Reply #22875 on: February 22, 2010, 08:18:21 PM »
Any company payin $2.5bn for nitel is insane n do not know wat they r doing. My fingers are crossed.

Offline samstone4

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Re: Stockmarket Tips For Nigerians
« Reply #22876 on: February 22, 2010, 09:12:41 PM »
Any company payin $2.5bn for nitel is insane n do not know wat they r doing. My fingers are crossed.

@ NNs,

Like the prodigal son I shall bring out a bullock to welcome you back. some months ago I calculated the value of Nitel as about 2 billion based on the reported compensation tp IIL after arbritation. Some industry analysts also gave a figure of 1.2 to 2 billion dollars. We were all shouted down. A lot of the problem of Nitel are due to corruption and sabotage. I am not surprised that someone will pay 2.5 billion for Nitel - without liabilities.
I hope it works out.

Samstone4 8) 8) 8) 8)
Alakoso....

Offline shakabula

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Re: Stockmarket Tips For Nigerians
« Reply #22877 on: February 22, 2010, 11:07:12 PM »
Any company payin $2.5bn for nitel is insane n do not know wat they r doing. My fingers are crossed.

@ NNs,

Like the prodigal son I shall bring out a bullock to welcome you back. some months ago I calculated the value of Nitel as about 2 billion based on the reported compensation tp IIL after arbritation. Some industry analysts also gave a figure of 1.2 to 2 billion dollars. We were all shouted down. A lot of the problem of Nitel are due to corruption and sabotage. I am not surprised that someone will pay 2.5 billion for Nitel - without liabilities.
I hope it works out.

Samstone4 8) 8) 8) 8)
Alakoso....

CMDR, I don't know where you came up with $2B, but I will be very very surprised if anyone pays $2.5B for NITEL.  There are 3 parts in NITEL worth paying for (GSM license, SAT3 access and property/land/building).  The last GSM license was sold for $400 and MTN bid just $25M for the SAT3 (which NITEL does not own outright). Let's even assume that MTN executives are robbers and SAT3 is worth $100M. That gives $500M leaving a balance of $2B.  Are you saying NITEL's property portfolio is worth $2B?  

If you read the recent news articles, most of the quoted analysts say they were surprised at the $2.5B figure and a more realistic number is $500M.  I am not saying these analyst are right, I'm just curios why you think NITEL is worth $2.5B.
« Last Edit: February 22, 2010, 11:15:03 PM by shakabula »
"Those who cannot remember the past are condemned to repeat it" - George Santayana

Offline samstone4

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Re: Stockmarket Tips For Nigerians
« Reply #22878 on: February 23, 2010, 12:06:49 AM »
Any company payin $2.5bn for nitel is insane n do not know wat they r doing. My fingers are crossed.

@ NNs,

Like the prodigal son I shall bring out a bullock to welcome you back. some months ago I calculated the value of Nitel as about 2 billion based on the reported compensation tp IIL after arbritation. Some industry analysts also gave a figure of 1.2 to 2 billion dollars. We were all shouted down. A lot of the problem of Nitel are due to corruption and sabotage. I am not surprised that someone will pay 2.5 billion for Nitel - without liabilities.
I hope it works out.

Samstone4 8) 8) 8) 8)
Alakoso....

CMDR, I don't know where you came up with $2B, but I will be very very surprised if anyone pays $2.5B for NITEL.  There are 3 parts in NITEL worth paying for (GSM license, SAT3 access and property/land/building).  The last GSM license was sold for $400 and MTN bid just $25M for the SAT3 (which NITEL does not own outright). Let's even assume that MTN executives are robbers and SAT3 is worth $100M. That gives $500M leaving a balance of $2B.  Are you saying NITEL's property portfolio is worth $2B?  

If you read the recent news articles, most of the quoted analysts say they were surprised at the $2.5B figure and a more realistic number is $500M.  I am not saying these analyst are right, I'm just curios why you think NITEL is worth $2.5B.

@ Shak,

Based my calculation of $2 Billion on the compensation to IIL following international arbitration.
Sat 3 generates a lot of cash and all that is needed is proper management and some repair or upgrade.
GSM Licence worth about $400, as you agreed
Nitel has the most extensive fibreoptic network hence Iseghogi and co wanted to shave it off Nitel as the backbone company: one of the accusations against them.
My posting yesterday confirms what I have been saying that rivals and disgruntled staff have been sabotaging Nitel network cable network. The political liabilty of Transcorp and pension funds etc will not be there for the buyer.
I am not saying the correct value is $2.5 billion dollars but the figure is not far-fetched. If all the problems listed are sorted it may even be worth a lot more than 2.5 billion.
By the way, I don't think the real estate, except for the stations, is part of the deal.
Knowing the gap between their bid and the reserve bidder, I will not be surprised to see New Generation look for a way to pay less. Who knows all the denials and reaffirmations by China Unicom etc may have to do with getting to pay less.

Samstone4 8) 8) 8) 8)
Alakoso...were is Pump747-800?

Offline Pumping

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Re: Stockmarket Tips For Nigerians
« Reply #22879 on: February 23, 2010, 01:00:41 AM »
Alakoso, here I am reporting for duty...I was busy making sure that Nitel bid money is paid in fulll!!
Enjoy.

Pumping.